History as a Method of Prediction
Again I loosely refer to the concepts introduced by Carr in his book What Is History?, but intend on using that as merely inspiration for my own thoughts on this topic and not as a recounting of his views. I’ve previously written about how history can be used as a comparative tool and as context to more succinctly understand current events (causation, which, coincidentally, is the chapter I am up to in Carr’s book). I have also written a few pieces predicting what I believe may happen in the near future based on the historical context of the region. There are also moral and factual aspects of these predictions that I believe are important, not because they have any bearing on the prediction itself, but on the person who made it and reason it was made.
Continue reading “What Is History?: A Reflection Pt.3”
About a year ago I predicted that Venezuela would be the victim of a US backed coup attempt, like the one in 2002 under Chavez that proved unsuccessful. The coup has not happened, but it has been an interesting year for one of the most discussed countries of Latin America, and the region as a whole.
Continue reading “Wall vs Coup”
I know what you’re thinking. Oh dear, a conspiracy theory about that dangerous old banker Soros and his evil ties to everything ‘anti-American’ (read as ‘opposed to white supremacy and misinformation’). No, this isn’t going to be some far-fetched new world order stuff; it’ll be a justified correlation between Soros’ interests and the events in Honduras in 2009. This piece is more about Obama than Soros.
Continue reading “George Soros’ Connection to the Refugee Caravan”
In February, I predicted to some of my friends that Venezuela and Iran were the next likely candidates to fall to US interventionism (a couple of months later I tentatively added Nicaragua to the list as a possibility). Since then, an assassination attempt against Maduro took place in August, and Trump’s handling of the Iran situation has only exacerbated the divide between the two countries. While the latter can be partially attributed to the Trump Administration’s incompetence, both of these events follow imperialist patterns used by the US since the 1800’s. Iran appears to be holding firm against US rhetoric, but cracks in Venezuela’s once popular government have been visible for some time.
Continue reading “Venezuela is Primed for a Coup”